I have created an investment that achieves higher monthly returns while managing stock risks in the trade. You may be skeptical of this concept and should be when you hear something like this introduced into your trading plan. To explain, let’s look at what must happen to a stock price for a successful PUT selling trade. To keep the premium from the PUT sell, the stock price must be above the PUT option strike price at expiration. To increase my percent of winning PUT trades, I invest in stocks with price momentum moving higher. This increases the probability of the stock price closing above the strike price – giving us more winning trades.
How do I identify these winning trades? I combine the fundamentals of a stock with its price performance on its stock chart. I find securities that have a positive change in price that creates upward price momentum. You may have heard about price breakouts and other upward biased chart patterns. This introduces a concept of technical analysis into our trading plan.
Technical analysis uses stock price movements and trading activity as the basis for drawing a conclusion about where the price may be headed. It is based on the premise that prices move in trends that tend to continue until something changes to affect the balance of supply and demand for the stock. These changes can be detected by analyzing prior changes, looking for recurring patterns that indicate a price trend, or indicate areas of support and resistance that may influence the price direction.
SEE THE RESULTS FROM THIS MONTH…
The market was in a blast mode as it ran to record highs again. We had all winners this month with max income trades. And how about the monthly returns on the PUT trades – 4.8% on ARRY; 8.8% on TLRD; 9.6% on NL; and 8.7% on MDXG!!! This is a yearly return on some buy and hold stock investments in a monthly trade for us. We will look for more stock breakouts for PUT trades in our next newsletter.
Sell Put on Array Biopharma (ARRY)
STRATEGY: Look at the December 2017 11 cash-secured put trade. For each 100 shares of ARRY stock you want to control, sell one DEC 2017 11 put option for a $0.50 debit per option or better. That’s potentially a 4.8% return on the cash-secured put trade.
Actions: ARRY is currently trading at $10.82 so the 11 PUT we sold is ITM. Buy to close the PUT before expiration if the stock price is below the strike price of 12. If stock above 12, PUT will expire.
Sell Put on Tailored Brands (TLRD)
STRATEGY: Look at the December 2017 16. cash-secured put trade. For each 100 shares of TLRD stock you want to control, sell one Dec 2017 16 put option for a $1.30 debit per option or better. That’s potentially a 8.8% return on the cash-secured put trade.
Actions: TLRD is currently trading at $19.46 so the 16 PUT we sold is OTM. Let the options expire on 12/15.
Sell PUT on NL Industries (NL)
STRATEGY: Look at the December 2017 12.5 PUT trade. For each 100 shares of NL stock you want to control, sell one Dec 2017 12.5 PUT option for a $1.10 debit per option or better. That’s potentially a 9.6% return on the PUT trade.
Actions: NL is currently trading at $13.30 so the 12.5 PUT we sold is OTM. Let the options expire on 12/15.
Sell Put on Mimedx Group (MDXG)
STRATEGY: Look at the December 2017 10 cash-secured put trade. For each 100 shares of MDXG stock you want to control, sell one Dec 2017 10 put option for a $0.80 debit per option or better. That’s potentially a 8.7% return on the cash-secured put trade.
Actions: MDXG is currently trading at $12.25 so the 10 PUT we sold is OTM. Let the options expire on 12/15.