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Dividend Growth with 60% Upside

Trinity Industries (TRN) – Stock Summary

The stock pays a modest dividend yield of 1.07% but it has significant dividend growth potential in the coming years.  The Company has a 5 year average dividend growth rate of 13.40% with dividend growth of 36.36% in the last year.   The dividend will continue to grow as the EPS growth for next year is projected to be 27.23%.  EPS growth in the last quarter was 59.49% compared to the same quarter from a year earlier.  The stock has an equity summary score of 9.9 out of 10 for a VERY BULLISH outlook among analysts.  The stock is reasonable priced with a price to sales ratio of 1.07.

The stock is projected to have earnings of $5.92 in 2014.  Based on a PE of 15, the stock has a 12-month price target of $89, an increase of nearly 60% in the next year.

Trinity Industries, Inc. has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.15 per share on its $1.00 par value common stock. The quarterly cash dividend, representing Trinity’s 199th consecutively paid dividend, is payable January 31, 2014 to stockholders of record on January 15, 2014.

Recent Earnings

Trinity Industries, Inc. announced earnings results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2013, including the following significant highlights:

  • Record quarterly earnings per share of $1.26, a 58% increase year-over-year
  • Anticipates fourth quarter earnings per common diluted share of between $1.24 and $1.34 and raises full year 2013 earnings guidance to between $4.55 and $4.65
  • Rail Group receives orders for 5,610 new railcars during the third quarter resulting in a backlog of 40,050 units with a value of $5.1 billion
  • Structural wind towers business receives orders with a value of $442 million, extending production visibility through 2015
  • Company repurchases approximately 540,000 shares of its common stock during the quarter at a cost of $23.9 million
  • Available liquidity at the end of the third quarter of approximately $1.2 billion

Trinity Industries, Inc. reported net income attributable to Trinity stockholders of $99.6 million, or $1.26 per common diluted share, for the third quarter ended September 30, 2013. Net income for the same quarter of 2012 was $63.2 million, or $0.80 per common diluted share.

New Developments

Trinity Industries Inc. announced on 1/10/2014 that it  has acquired the assets of WesMor Cryogenic Companies through a newly formed subsidiary.  WesMor specializes in the manufacturing, repair, and rehabilitation of cryogenic containers that store and transport LNG and other industrial gases with initial expected annual revenues of approximately $25 million. The transaction includes the acquisition of a manufacturing facility in La Porte, Texas, and three service facilities located in La Porte; Slidell, Louisiana; and Port Washington, Ohio.

Recently, equipment finance company Element Financial Corporation (ELEEF) announced that it has entered into a strategic alliance agreement with Dallas-based Trinity Industries, Inc. (TRN) , a railcar manufacturer and lessor, to provide lease financing for up to US$2 billion worth of railcars over the next two years.  Under the terms of the Agreement, Element will be presented with “preferred opportunities” to enter into lease financings for a diversified fleet of railcars, including new railcars to be manufactured by Trinity , existing railcars from Trinity’s lease fleet as well as secondary market purchases.

Trinity Industries, Inc. recently announced that its subsidiary, Trinity Railcar Repair, Inc., has acquired the assets of Seaboard Railcar Repair (“Seaboard”). Seaboard provides a full range of services for both tank and freight railcars ranging from standard maintenance and program modifications to specialized cleaning, blasting, lining, painting, inspection and testing. The transaction includes the acquisition of two maintenance facilities located in Oklahoma and North Carolina with access to a number of major railroad interchanges. The assets and results of operations of this acquisition will be reflected in the Rail Group for financial reporting purposes.

Trinity Industries, Inc., headquartered in Dallas, Texas, is a diversified industrial company that owns a variety of market-leading businesses which provide products and services to the industrial, energy, transportation, and construction sectors. Trinity reports its financial results in five principal business segments: the Rail Group, the Railcar Leasing and Management Services Group, the Inland Barge Group, the Construction Products Group, and the Energy Equipment Group.

Ameriprise offers a Total Yield Stock Play with a Growing Dividend

While income investors constantly seek out stocks with growing dividend yields, they can also benefit from share buybacks.  The share buybacks present an opportunity for investors to get capital gains in addition to current income.  Currently, 80% of S&P 500 companies are buying back shares. Combine this with dividend yield and you can get a total yield of greater than 10% in 2014.  We are presenting a series of stocks worth a look.

Ameriprise Financial (NYSE: AMP) has a projected share buyback yield of 14% and a current dividend yield of 1.95%.  This provides investor a potential for a total yield of 15.95%.  The stock has an equity summary score of 7.9 out of 10 for a BULLISH outlook.  The stock has a 12 month price target of $104.

Ameriprise has a one-year dividend growth of 48%.  The dividend has grown from $0.35 in Q3 2012 to the current $0.52 in Q3 2013.  The 5-year average annual dividend growth rate is 25%.  AMP has a current dividend payout ratio of 36%.

Second-quarter 2013 net operating revenues were up 9%, year to year, on a 14% increase in management and advice fees and a 4% decline in net investment income.  Assets under management and administration of $703 billion were up 7% from a year earlier, helped by market appreciation.  We expect at least modest single digit annual revenue growth in 2013 and 2014, on a sustained pickup in asset inflows.  We think the Annuities segment will continue to be under pressure from the low interest rate environment in the near term, and that Annuities and Protection segment revenues will be relatively stable over the next two years, holding back the company’s overall revenue growth rate.

Balancing fund underperformance and outflows, particularly in International equities, slower-than-expected margin improvement, and AMP’s commitment to return capital to shareholders, we believe the shares are appropriately valued. We have a positive view of AMP’s focus on the growing market of affluent households.  We believe AMP is well positioned for long-term growth due to its shift toward the less capital-intensive and higher growth potential businesses of retirement planning advice and asset management, as well as a more international focus. Also, further economies of scale should be realized as integration of Columbia Management was nearly completed in 2012.

Harman International Doubles its Dividend

Car audio equipment maker Harman International Industries Inc (HAR) announced it would double its annual cash dividend to 60 cents per share.  The company will pay a dividend of 15 cents per share quarterly, effective July 1. The first quarterly payment will be made in September 2012.  Shares of the company, which owns brands such as Harman Kardon, JBL, AKG and Infinity, closed at $37.45 for a dividend yield of 0.80%.  HAR is a dividend growth stock as it has a 5-year average annual dividend growth of 43% with a payout ratio of 5%.

As of June 14, HAR has repurchased just over $100 million shares of common stock, which represents more than half of the amount authorized by its Board in October 2011.  The amount approved by the Board was $200 million for stock repurchases.  Dinesh C. Paliwal, President, Chairman, and CEO of Harman, commented, “We believe the repurchase of our shares represents a sound investment decision for our Company given recent trading prices. If the price of our shares remains at or around the current market price level, we plan to continue to buy back our shares in accordance with the economic parameters of the repurchase program, as approved by our Board.”  HAR has a market cap of $2.65 billion.

HAR had Q4 earnings of $0.67 per share in 2012 compared to $0.34 in Q4 2011.  HAR has dropped 20% as Apple has decided to use its own platform for navigation and voice recognition services.

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