Get Rich - Stay Rich - Investing for Monthly Income

Covered Call Results for 2015

As we close out 2015, we are reviewing the results we obtained from the perpetual covered call strategy during the past year. In terms of total return as tracked in the monthly spreadsheets, the average across all positions was 44.2% during 2015. In the past year ending 12/17, the S&P 500 only returned 0.73% and the DJIA returned 0.76%. Therefore, we beat the market significantly and generated significantly more income. The average monthly income across our open positions was $145 for each position with 100 stock shares!

The table below shows the results for each perpetual covered call position during 2015. This table is the same information as displayed in the monthly tables for each position (based on owning 100 shares of stock and selling one covered call each month). Note Kroger stock split during the year as shown in the table.

Compared to the market averages, all of our perpetual covered call positions finished above the market. We had 2 positions with returns above 50% – HAS and CVS. Interestingly, the average price increase was only 0.4%! This clearly shows we make our returns based on monthly premiums and dividends. This indicates this strategy can make money in a side and downward trending market.

As we start 2016, we will share a new list of perpetual covered call trades. We will add to these as the year proceeds forward with new trades based on what happens in the market.

If you have any open puts, they will need to be closed out. We will be starting with new protective puts for each position we have open and start throughout the year. To lower the cost, we will be buying puts that are long-dated for Jan 2017. This will provide protection throughout the year and allow investors to allocate the put cost over more months.

 

 

 

Covered Call of the Month – 26% Annualized Return on this Stock

You have heard all of the old adages about investing such as there is no free lunch and many more.  In general, these saying suggest that higher returns will always require higher risk of some type.  Still, money managers and hedge funds continue to attempt to ink out higher returns on a risk adjusted basis through a numerous variety of customized approaches to stock selection, asset allocation, hedging strategies and so on.  For them, this is the holy grail that generates higher returns than their competitors or market averages.  In my opinion, investors can simplify this process through covered call writing.

Covered call writing consists of selling call options on stock whose shares you own.  This strategy places the investor somewhere between stock ownership and fixed income investments.  While the investor owns shares, they also create income from the premium received from selling call options on those shares.  While this strategy will not produce wealth overnight, it does produce a steady stream of income while owning shares of stock.  This strategy is designed to produce an annual return in the area of 15% on conservative stocks and higher as investors write calls on higher volatility stocks.

Covered Call of the Month

Celgene (NASDAQ: CELG) ended the last trading session at $95.02. So far the stock has hit a 52-week low of $66.85 and 52-week high of $96.15. CELG has had an S&P Capital IQ 5 STARS (out of 5) ranking since 10/23/2008. On 1/13/2014 S&P Capital IQ equity analysts set a 12-Month price target of $104.00 for the stock. Celgene stock has been showing support around $93.83 and resistance in the $95.89 range.

For a hedged play on this stock, consider a Nov ’14 covered call with a 95 sold call for a net debit in the $89.77 area. The strategy has an 81 day duration, provides 5.53% downside protection and a 5.83% assigned return rate for a 26.25% annualized return rate (for comparison purposes only). This strategy has a 4 Key (out of 5) Low Relative Risk ranking.  

A Covered Call Trade on Microsoft

Investor sentiment turned strongly bearish recently as emerging markets were hit by both country-specific problems and the realization that the Fed’s trimmed bond-buying program reduces the liquidity that has boosted higher-yielding emerging market assets and put a floor under U.S. stock prices.

The broad selloff in emerging markets over the recent weeks translated into the worst week for global stocks in seven months. The S&P 500 slid 2.6 percent, its largest weekly decline since June 2012.  Still, the S&P 500 is just 3.1 percent below its record closing high.  If the bears stay put, then the market could pull back over the coming months.

Due to the selling on Wall Street, investors were willing to pay more for spot protection against a drop in the S&P 500.  At this time, investors are concerned a market pullback may be overdue.

Investors should consider looking at blue chip stocks with low betas, nice dividend yields and sell some calls for downside protection and additional income.  A good choice is Microsoft (MSFT) with a current dividend yield of 2.77 percent and a beta of only 0.78.  In addition, the Company just beat earnings estimate and year over year earnings.

For the fiscal second quarter ended Dec. 31, revenue rose 14% to $24.52 billion, partly reflecting the release in November of a new Xbox videogame console and a fresh version of Microsoft’s

Surface tablet computer ahead of the holidays.

Overall, net income climbed to $6.56 billion, or 78 cents a share, compared with $6.38 billion, or 76 cents a share, in the year-ago quarter.  Analysts, on average, estimated Microsoft would post earnings of 68 cents a share on revenue of $23.7 billion, according to Thomson Reuters.

The company said its devices and consumer revenue grew 13% to $11.91 billion, while commercial revenue increased 10% to $12.67 billion.

On November 19, 2013 the board of directors at Microsoft had approved a dividend of $0.28 per share. The dividend is payable on March 13, 2014 to shareholders of record on February 20, 2014.

The stock has landed on the “Jefferies Highest Conviction Franchise Picks for Big Upside in 2014.”  Jeffries had this to say about Microsoft in this report, “With the Xbox One poised to be one of the fastest selling gaming consoles ever, the fourth-quarter sales for the company were outstanding. Investors are paid a very solid 3.1% dividend. The Jefferies price target for the software giant is $42.”

Last week, analysts at Deutsche Bank have upgraded their coverage of Microsoft to a Buy rating from a Hold, while raising their price target on the stock to $40 from $32 a share.

Also, Microsoft has an equity summary score of 9.4 out of 10 for a very bullish outlook according to a consensus of analysts.

Investors can look at selling a call option to get some downside protection and additional premium for income.  The basics of a covered call is that an investor can sell one call for every 100 shares of stock owned.

One potential covered call trade is to sell the March or April 2014 38 call option.  Under this scenario, your Microsoft shares will be called away if the stock price is above the strike price of 38 on March 22. So the investor is giving away the stock price upside as long as they are short the call.

However, investors will receive a call premium for each call sold.  This gives the investor downside protection to around the $36 price level.  Investors will also get the $0.28 dividend.  In total, this covered call trade with the cash dividend can potentially create a 5% return over the next 2 months.

How to Get 50% of Your Stock Purchase in Monthly Income Installments

A covered call trade is a very simple instrument to increase your monthly income. The basic idea is to sell a call option for every 100 shares of stock you own.  By selling the call option, the investor receives a premium which is what our investors call monthly income or monthly dividend payments.  We sell new call options each month to create new income – month after month.  This is in addition to the current dividend paid by stocks on a quarterly basis.

Here is an example of what subscribers to the Get Rich Monthly Income Plan achieved in 2013:

Subscribers purchased Holly Frontier in January 2013 for $46.35 per share. So purchasing 100 share of stock will cost a total of $4,635 plus commission costs.  At this time, HFC was paying a $0.30 per quarter dividend for a dividend yield of 2.59%.  This is a nice yield on a fairly stable stock but it gets even better.  In addition to the $1.20 in quarterly dividends, HFC paid $2.00 more per share in special dividends.  This increases the total dividends to $3.20 per share in 2013.  The addition of special dividends increases the stocks annual dividend yield to 6.9%.  Wow, a 6.9% dividend yield is great in this low yielding stock market!

But it gets even better for Get Rich Monthly Income Plan subscribers.  They sold a call option on each 100 shares of HFC stock they owned each month of 2013.  Based on our results, this created a total of $1,985 for the entire year.  This created an average monthly income of $165.42 by selling the call option which created the covered call trade.  The total premium income of $1,985 is about 40% of the total cost of entering the trade – $4635 at the beginning of the year.  Therefore, investors received nearly half of their initial investment in HFC back during the year through a simple monthly covered call trade.

Now, subscribers can add the three sources of income – quarterly dividend, special dividends and covered call income together to create a Monthly Income Plan.  In total, subscribers received $2,305 in additional income from owning 100 shares of HFC stock in 2013.  This is an average of $192 in additional income each month of 2013. And, the $2305 in income is 50% of the total amount of the initial investment in 100 share of HFC!

Dividend Growth with 60% Upside

Trinity Industries (TRN) – Stock Summary

The stock pays a modest dividend yield of 1.07% but it has significant dividend growth potential in the coming years.  The Company has a 5 year average dividend growth rate of 13.40% with dividend growth of 36.36% in the last year.   The dividend will continue to grow as the EPS growth for next year is projected to be 27.23%.  EPS growth in the last quarter was 59.49% compared to the same quarter from a year earlier.  The stock has an equity summary score of 9.9 out of 10 for a VERY BULLISH outlook among analysts.  The stock is reasonable priced with a price to sales ratio of 1.07.

The stock is projected to have earnings of $5.92 in 2014.  Based on a PE of 15, the stock has a 12-month price target of $89, an increase of nearly 60% in the next year.

Trinity Industries, Inc. has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.15 per share on its $1.00 par value common stock. The quarterly cash dividend, representing Trinity’s 199th consecutively paid dividend, is payable January 31, 2014 to stockholders of record on January 15, 2014.

Recent Earnings

Trinity Industries, Inc. announced earnings results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2013, including the following significant highlights:

  • Record quarterly earnings per share of $1.26, a 58% increase year-over-year
  • Anticipates fourth quarter earnings per common diluted share of between $1.24 and $1.34 and raises full year 2013 earnings guidance to between $4.55 and $4.65
  • Rail Group receives orders for 5,610 new railcars during the third quarter resulting in a backlog of 40,050 units with a value of $5.1 billion
  • Structural wind towers business receives orders with a value of $442 million, extending production visibility through 2015
  • Company repurchases approximately 540,000 shares of its common stock during the quarter at a cost of $23.9 million
  • Available liquidity at the end of the third quarter of approximately $1.2 billion

Trinity Industries, Inc. reported net income attributable to Trinity stockholders of $99.6 million, or $1.26 per common diluted share, for the third quarter ended September 30, 2013. Net income for the same quarter of 2012 was $63.2 million, or $0.80 per common diluted share.

New Developments

Trinity Industries Inc. announced on 1/10/2014 that it  has acquired the assets of WesMor Cryogenic Companies through a newly formed subsidiary.  WesMor specializes in the manufacturing, repair, and rehabilitation of cryogenic containers that store and transport LNG and other industrial gases with initial expected annual revenues of approximately $25 million. The transaction includes the acquisition of a manufacturing facility in La Porte, Texas, and three service facilities located in La Porte; Slidell, Louisiana; and Port Washington, Ohio.

Recently, equipment finance company Element Financial Corporation (ELEEF) announced that it has entered into a strategic alliance agreement with Dallas-based Trinity Industries, Inc. (TRN) , a railcar manufacturer and lessor, to provide lease financing for up to US$2 billion worth of railcars over the next two years.  Under the terms of the Agreement, Element will be presented with “preferred opportunities” to enter into lease financings for a diversified fleet of railcars, including new railcars to be manufactured by Trinity , existing railcars from Trinity’s lease fleet as well as secondary market purchases.

Trinity Industries, Inc. recently announced that its subsidiary, Trinity Railcar Repair, Inc., has acquired the assets of Seaboard Railcar Repair (“Seaboard”). Seaboard provides a full range of services for both tank and freight railcars ranging from standard maintenance and program modifications to specialized cleaning, blasting, lining, painting, inspection and testing. The transaction includes the acquisition of two maintenance facilities located in Oklahoma and North Carolina with access to a number of major railroad interchanges. The assets and results of operations of this acquisition will be reflected in the Rail Group for financial reporting purposes.

Trinity Industries, Inc., headquartered in Dallas, Texas, is a diversified industrial company that owns a variety of market-leading businesses which provide products and services to the industrial, energy, transportation, and construction sectors. Trinity reports its financial results in five principal business segments: the Rail Group, the Railcar Leasing and Management Services Group, the Inland Barge Group, the Construction Products Group, and the Energy Equipment Group.

The Right Chemistry for Growth and Income with 42% Upside Potential

What more can an income investor want than a dividend growing at 35% per year and price upside potential of 42% in the coming year.  This is exactly what is possible to owners of Celanese Corp. (NYSE: CE), a global producer of industrial chemicals.  While the current dividend yield is only 1.0%, it will likely continue to grow as EPS is projected to increase 14% in the next year.

The Company has increased its dividends by 140% in the past year and boasts of a 5-year average annual dividend growth rate of 35.1% per year.  The current payout ratio is 21.24%.  Celanese announced a 100% increase in the company’s quarterly common stock dividend on July 25, 2013.  The dividend rate increased from $0.09 to $0.18 per share of common stock on a quarterly basis and from $0.36 to $0.72 per share of common stock on an annual basis.

Celanese posted adjusted EPS of $1.20 per share in Q3, up from a $1.12 gain during the same quarter last year and beating the Capital IQ consensus by $0.05 per share.  Revenue for the manufacturer of thermoplastic polymers slid 1.0% year over year to $1.64 billion, roughly in-line with analyst forecasts.

Looking forward, CE said it expects per-share earnings to continue growing during FY14 through new products and productivity improvement.  Celanese has expanded its polyacetal manufacturing footprint in Asia through investments in joint venture projects in Malaysia, Korea, and Saudi Arabia.  The company signed manufacturing agreements with Malaysia’s Polyplastics Asia Pacific Sdn. Bhd, Korea’s Korea Engineering Plastics, and Saudi Arabia’s Ibn Sina.

We think Celanese can generate above-average revenue growth from geographic expansion and the development of new applications for its products. Due to its size, CE also enjoys a cost advantage in many of its markets. We believe the engineered plastics business has solid long-term growth fundamentals, and that acetate tow remains a stable cash-generating business. Additionally, the European economy seems poised for gradual recovery in 2014.

We look for operating EPS to rise to $4.55 this year, from $3.80 in 2012. Further growth is expected in 2014, with EPS forecast to reach $5.20.   Based on a PE of 15, the 12 month target price is projected to be $78, an increase of 42% from current trading levels.  The Stock has an equity summary score of 8.6out of 10 for a Bullish outlook among analyst.

Celanese Corp. is a global producer of industrial chemicals and has the number  one or two market share in a majority of its products.  Celanese strives to focus its businesses in areas where it has a clear and sustainable competitive advantage to generate long-term earnings growth.  It also continually seeks to optimize its business portfolio to achieve industry, cost and technology leadership while expanding its product mix into higher value-added products. CE’s geographically balanced global footprint is another aspect of its strategy that should fuel future earnings growth, and its global presence is aligned with the current and expected growth of its customers.

The strong cash flow results allowed Celanese to more actively utilize their balance sheet, deploying$96 millionof cash in the quarter to purchase approximately 2 million shares.  Celanese also maintained a cash balance of$1.1 billionand net debt balance of less than$2.0 billion.

The company will cease all manufacturing operations and associated activities at the acetic anhydride plant in Roussillon and at the vinyl acetate monomer (VAM) unit in Tarragona by the end of 2013, and Celanese will proceed to decommission both facilities.

The need for these closure projects emerged from an assessment of Celanese’s overall corporate strategy, which included an assessment of the company’s global manufacturing facilities. Specifically, in support of the company’s acetyl portfolio, the manufacturing footprint strategy favors integrated production sites that provide critical economies of scale.  Celanese expects savings from these closures to be in the range of US $20-30 million in 2014.

Drive this Stock to 40% Gains while Increasing Dividends Each Quarter

Income investors should look at this stock for a growing dividend, increasing earnings per share and a 40% potential upside in stock price.  The Company has increased dividends for 11 straight quarters, increased EPS 21% in latest quarter and trades at a current price to sales ratio of 0.27.

Penske Automotive Group (NYSE: PAG), an international transportation services company, announced the highest third quarter and nine months income from continuing operations and related earnings per share in company history.   For the third quarter 2013, income from continuing operations attributable to common shareholders increased 21.0% to $66.0 million and related earnings per share increased 21.7% to $0.73 per share when compared to adjusted figures for the same period last year of $0.14 per share.

The big auto retailer logged a 12% jump in 3Q same-store sales, outpacing larger rival AutoNation (AN), and service-and-parts margins also rose strongly.  But average profit/car sold was essentially flat from a year ago for both new and used vehicles. Nonetheless, Sterne Agee says, “PAG’s luxury and import portfolio, concentration in the UK market (34% of revenue) and the company’s ability to improve cost accounted for the better-than-expected financial performance. We expect the positive trends to continue in 2014.”

On October 23, 2013 Penske increased its dividend by 6.3%.  Commenting on the dividend, Penske Automotive Group

President Robert H. Kurnick, Jr., said, “Our Board of Directors is pleased to offer our shareholders a 6.3% increase in the quarterly dividend to $0.17, demonstrating the continued confidence we have in the strength of the auto retail marketplace and in our ability to continue growing our business.”

Penske has increased dividend s for 11 straight quarters as the dividend paid in Q2 2011 was $0.07 per share.  Today (Q4 2013), the Company is paying $0.17 per share for this quarter.  This is an increase of 143% over a little more than 2 years.  Penske has a 5-year average annual dividend growth rate of 13%. The Company has a current dividend yield of 1.5%.

Penske is projected to have earnings of $2.73 per share in calendar year 2013.  The Company is projected to grow earnings by 15% to $3.15 in 2014.  Carmike is projected to increase EPS by another 10% to $3.45 in 2015.

The stock has an equity summary score of 7.9 out of 10 for a BULLISH outlook.  Thomson Reuters consensus has a buy rating of 2.3 on the stock.  Penske Auto Group (NYSE: PAG) has a 12-month price target of $63.00 which is an increase of 40% from the current trading level.

Penske Automotive Group, Inc., headquartered in Bloomfield Hills, Michigan, is an international transportation services company, operating retail automotive dealerships, Hertz car rental franchises and commercial vehicle distribution. The company currently operates principally in the United States, Western Europe, Australia and New Zealand, employs approximately 17,000 people worldwide and is a member of the Fortune 500 and Russell 2000.

A High Yield CEF Trading at a Double Digit Discount

For CEF Investors seeking income, they may want to evaluate Liberty All Star Equity Fund (USA).  This fund has a current distribution rate of 6.97% and still trades at a 10% discount to net asset value (NAV). While the fund is setup for income purposes, it has produced a year-to-date market return of 20% and a one year return on NAV of 29%.  This performance has landed this fund in the top25 CEFs through year to date results.

USA has a 1-year Z statistic of -1.71 while indicates it has a reasonable value compared to past discount of price to NAV.  The fund uses no leverage and no return of capital through distributions.  Here is the recent fund information.

 

 

Fund Style: Large-Cap Core

Investment Managers:
Value Managers:
Matrix Asset Advisors, Inc.
Pzena Investment Management, LLC
Schneider Capital Management   Corporation
Growth Managers:
Cornerstone Capital Management LLC
TCW Investment Management Company

 

Top 20 Holdings at Month-End
(31.9% of equity portfolio)

(Rank   from previous month)

1

Google, Inc., Class A (2)

2.5%

2

QUALCOMM, Inc. (1)

2.4%

3

Schlumberger Ltd. (4)

2.1%

4

JPMorgan Chase & Co. (3)

2.1%

5

Salesforce.com, Inc. (5)

1.8%

6

Amazon.com, Inc. (13)

1.6%

7

Citigroup, Inc. (6)

1.6%

8

Morgan Stanley (9)

1.5%

9

Devon Energy Corp. (11)

1.5%

10

Bank of America Corp. (7)

1.5%

11

Hewlett-Packard Co. (17)

1.5%

12

MetLife, Inc. (8)

1.4%

13

SunTrust Banks, Inc. (12)

1.4%

14

Microsoft Corp. (14)

1.4%

15

American International Group, Inc.   (16)

1.4%

16

Visa, Inc., Class A (15)

1.3%

17

Starbucks Corp. (10)

1.3%

18

Chesapeake Energy Corp. (18)

1.3%

19

Precision Castparts Corp. (22)

1.2%

20

State Street Corp. (20)

1.1%

Holdings are subject to change.

 

Monthly Performance
Performance

NAV

Market   Price

Discount

Beginning of month value

$6.20

$5.41

12.7%

Distributions (Ex-Date October 30)

$0.10

$0.10

End of month value

$6.37

$5.72

10.2%

Performance for month

4.54%

7.58%

Performance year-to-date

27.03%

27.94%

The net asset value (NAV) of a closed-end   fund is the market value of the underlying investments (i.e., stocks and   bonds) in the Fund’s portfolio, minus liabilities, divided by the total   number of Fund shares outstanding. However, the Fund also has a market price;   the value at which it trades on an exchange. If the market price is above the   NAV the Fund is trading at a premium. If the market price is below the NAV   the Fund is trading at a discount.

Returns for the Fund are total returns, which include dividends, after   deducting Fund expenses. The Fund’s performance is calculated assuming that a   shareholder reinvested all distributions and exercised all primary rights in   the Fund’s rights offerings. Past performance cannot predict future   investment results.

Performance will fluctuate with changes in market conditions. Current   performance may be lower or higher than the performance data shown.   Performance information shown does not reflect the deduction of taxes that   shareholders would pay on Fund distributions or the sale of Fund shares. Shareholders   must be willing to tolerate significant fluctuations in the value of their   investment. An investment in the Fund involves risk, including loss of   principal.

 

Net Assets at Month-End   ($millions)
Total $1,111.6
Equities $1,090.0
Percent Invested 98.1%
Sector   Breakdown (% of equity portfolio)*
Financials 25.2%
Information   Technology 18.9%
Consumer   Discretionary 15.6%
Energy 15.0%
Health Care 10.2%
Industrials 7.3%
Consumer   Staples 4.9%
Materials 2.3%
Utilities 0.6%
Total Market   Value 100.0%
*Based on   Standard & Poor’s and MSCI Barra Global Industry Classification Standard   (GICS).

 

Covered Call Trades of the Month

Investors have been bracing for anything that could reverse at the last minute the market’s year-long rally, which saw the Dow and S&P 500 hit record highs again this week. The S&P 500 is up 26 percent this year and registered a sixth week of gains on Friday.  However, income investors seeking to trade covered call investments have been performing well too.

Below are two successful trades from the past month listed in the Monthly Income Plan at getrichinvestments.com .  Each month, income investors are creating income streams from selling covered call options against high quality stocks.  Here are some winning trades from the current newsletter:

Covered Call on USG Corp (USG)

STRATEGY: Look at the Nov 27 covered call. For each 100 shares of USG stock you buy, sell one Nov 27 covered call option for a $25.50 ($26.65 – $1.15) debit or better.

Actions: USG is currently trading at $27.66 at the close on 11/15 so the 27 call we sold is ITM.  These shares and call options will be called away.

This is a 5.88% return for one month and an estimated 70% annualized return.

 

Covered Call on Flour Corp (FLR)

 

STRATEGY: Look at the November 2013 77.5 covered call. For each 100 shares of FLR stock you buy, sell one Nov 2013 77.5 covered call option for a $74.89 (77.19 – 2.30) debit or better.  That’s potentially a 3.49% assigned return.

Actions: FLR is currently trading at $79.36 so the 77.5 call we sold is ITM.  These shares and call options will be called away on Friday (11/15).

This is a 3.49% return for one month and an estimated 42% annualized return.

Order Some Special Dividends from these Stocks

Saratoga Investment Corp. (NYSE: SAR) declared a special dividend of $2.65 per share.  The dividend will be payable on December 27, 2013, to stockholders of record on November 13, 2013, with an ex-dividend date of November 8, 2013.  The annual yield on the dividend is 13.9 percent.

The dividend will be paid in cash or shares of the Company’s common stock at the election of the shareholders, although the total amount of cash to be distributed to all shareholders will be limited to approximately 20% of the total dividend to be paid to all shareholders. The remainder of the dividend (approximately 80%) will be paid in the form of shares of the Company’s common stock. This dividend is being made in accordance with certain applicable Treasury regulations and private letter rulings on cash/stock dividends issued by the IRS over the years that allow a publicly-traded regulated investment company to satisfy its distribution requirements from a distribution paid partly in common stock provided that at least 20% of the distribution is payable in cash and certain other requirements are satisfied. The dividend includes a carry-over balance of $3.9 million from the Company’s fiscal year 2013 taxable income and a significant portion of the Company’s fiscal year 2014 estimated taxable income.

Cohen & Steers, Inc. (NYSE: CNS) declared a special dividend of $1.00 per share. The dividend will be payable on December 20, 2013, to stockholders of record on December 2, 2013. The annual yield on the dividend is 2.6 percent.

Wynn Resorts Ltd (NASDAQ: WYNN) declared a special dividend of $3.00 per share.  The dividend will be payable on December 6, 2013, to stockholders of record on November 20, 2013, with an ex-dividend date of November 18, 2013.  The annual yield on the dividend is 1.8 percent.

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