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Mortgage REITs – Annaly Capital to Buy CreXus

Annaly Capital Management, Inc. ( NLY ) announced that it has put forth a proposal to acquire CreXus Investment Corp ( CXS ).

The proposal states that Annaly would purchase with cash the remaining outstanding stock of CreXus that is does not already own. Annaly currently owns about 12.4% (9.5 million) of the 76.6 million outstanding shares of common stock of CreXus.

Annaly would pay $12.50 per share in the deal. That is a +12.6% premium on the $11.10 share price that CXS closed at on Friday.

The potential acquisition has been made as Annaly seeks to diversify its investments.

The deal has only been put forth to the Board of Directors of CreXus and is still subject to approval.

Wellington Denahan, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Annaly Capital Management, Inc., made the following statement:

“Since our inception in 1997, Annaly has maintained the capacity to diversify its asset base to include real estate related assets in addition to Agency mortgage-backed securities if we determined that compelling other long-term investment opportunities exist relative to the Agency market. While we remain committed to the Agency market, given the current environment, we believe it is prudent to diversify a portion of our investment portfolio. Therefore, we may allocate up to 25% of our shareholders’ equity to real estate assets other than Agency mortgage-backed securities.

“A powerful step in this direction is the proposed acquisition of CreXus. We believe that wholly owning the commercial real estate platform we currently manage through FIDAC is complementary to our existing business and return profile and should provide stable and diversified risk-adjusted returns to our shareholders. CreXus’ capabilities and growth may be significantly enhanced when coupled with Annaly’s broad capital base.

“Our commercial real estate expertise, as well as our expertise in a number of other asset classes, are valuable strategic tools, and we look forward to updating the market on our portfolio as it evolves.

 

3 High Yield REITs with a Bullish Outlook

Shares of high yielding REITs have been relatively flat in August.  The Vanguard REIT ETF (VNQ), which tracks the performance of an index that measures the performance of publicly traded equity REITs, is up over 14 percent this year, nearly double the Dow Jones gain of 8 percent over the same period.  Investors have looked to mortgage REITs to take advantage of the recovering U.S. housing market. Mortgage REITs do not directly invest in real estate but invest in the mortgages on real estate properties.

While the housing market has gone from bad to less bad, these REITs have just declared higher dividends for their investors.  Each of these REITs has high dividend yields over 10% with a Bullish outlook.

Newcastle Investment Corp. (NYSE: NCT) announced that its Board of Directors has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.22 per common share for the third quarter of 2012, representing a 10% increase from the prior quarter’s dividend of $0.20per common share. The dividend is payable on October 31, 2012 to shareholders of record on October 1, 2012.  Newcastle has a current dividend yield of 10.3%.

Newcastle Investment announced that it has completed the sale of 100% of its interests in CDO X in connection with the liquidation and termination of CDO X.  Newcastle received $130 million for $89.75 million face amount of subordinated notes and all of its equity in CDO X.  The sale and resulting deconsolidation of CDO X from the Company’s balance sheet will eliminate the impact of CDO X’s negative net book value and generate an approximately $200 million gain for the third quarter.

Newcastle has an equity summary score of 8.7 out of 10 for a Bullish outlook.  First Call analysts’ consensus has a Buy rating of 1.7.  Newcastle has a 12-month price target of $8.75.

Newcastle Investment (operated as a REIT) focuses on investing in and actively managing opportunistic investments in real estate related assets. The Company primarily invests in two distinct areas: (1) Residential Servicing and Securities and (2) Commercial Real Estate Debt and Other Assets.

The Board of Directors of CreXus Investment Corp. (NYSE: CXS) declared the third quarter 2012 common stock cash dividend of $0.32 per common share.  This dividend is payable October 25, 2012 to common shareholders of record on October 1, 2012. The ex-dividend date is September 27, 2012.

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This is an 18.5% increase from the prior dividend of $0.27.  CreXus Investment has a current dividend yield of 10.2%.  EPS is projected to increase 21% in 2013 and 18% in 2014.

CreXus has an equity summary score of 7.6 out of 10 for a Bullish outlook.  First Call analysts’ consensus has a Buy rating of 2.3.  CreXus has a 12-month price target of $12.50.

CreXus (operated as a REIT) acquires, manages and finances, directly or through its subsidiaries, commercial mortgage loans and other commercial real estate debt, commercial real property, commercial mortgage-backed securities and other commercial and residential real estate-related assets.

New York Mortgage Trust, Inc. (NYMT) announced that its Board of Directors declared a regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.27 per share on shares of its common stock for the quarter ending September 30, 2012. The dividend will be payable on October 25, 2012 to common stockholders of record as of September 28, 2012.  New York Mortgage has a current dividend yield of 14.5%.

New York Mortgage has completed an underwritten registered public offering of 10,000,000 shares of common stock at $6.73 per share.  New York Mortgage also granted the underwriters an option to purchase up to an additional 1,500,000 shares of common stock.  The proceeds will be used to purchase more assets.

New York Mortgage has an equity summary score of 9.0 out of 10 for a Bullish outlook.  First Call analysts’ consensus has a Buy rating of 2.0.  New York Mortgage has a 12-month price target of $8.25.

New York Mortgage invests in mortgage-related and financial assets and targets multi-family CMBS and Agency RMBS, including Agency RMBS consisting of adjustable-rate and hybrid adjustable-rate RMBS and Agency IOs consisting of interest only and inverse interest only RMBS that represent the right to the interest component of the cash flow from a pool of mortgage loans.

Stocks with Dividend Yields Above 10%

The following table displays stocks with a high dividend yield of 10% or more.  These stocks are rated bullish or very bullish by their equity summary scores.  The complete list includes PZN, CXS, NYMT, ANH, DX, PMT, ARI, and NCT.  The top 3 yielding stocks are profiled below.

Pzena Investment Management, Inc. (PZN) is a publicly owned investment manager. It provides its services to individuals, typically high net worth individuals, investment companies, charitable organizations, corporations, state or municipal government entities, pension and profit sharing plans, and pooled investment vehicles. The firm launches and manages equity mutual funds and manages balanced mutual fund for its clients. The firm invests in the public equity markets across the globe. The firm employs fundamental analysis while making its investments. Pzena Investment Management, Inc. was founded in 1995 and is based in New York City.  PZN is trading at $4.96 with a dividend yield of 15.3%.   On February 8, 2012 PZN approved a
dividend of 0.19 per share payable on March 2, 2012.

On 02/08/12, the company announced quarterly earnings of 0.08 per share, a positive surprise of 11.1% above the consensus 0.07.  Over the past 4 quarters, the company has reported 3 positive (>2%), 0 negative (<-2%), and 1 in-line (within 2%) surprises.  The average surprise for this time period has been 4.7%.  PZN’s current quarter consensus estimate has increased over the past 90 days from 0.07 to 0.08, a gain of 17.1%.  This improvement is significantly greater than its Industry average of 0.0% during the same time period.  Over the past 90 days, the consensus price target for PZN has increased notably from 4.31 to 5.25, a gain of 21.8%.

CreXus Investment Corp. (CXS) is specialty finance company, which acquires, manages, and finances, directly or through its subsidiaries, commercial mortgage loans and other commercial real estate debt, commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS), and other commercial real estate-related assets. It also acquires subordinated commercial mortgage loans and mezzanine loans.  CXS is trading at $10.98 with a 13% yield.

On 02/23/12, the company announced quarterly earnings of 0.55 per share, a positive surprise of 63.2% above the consensus 0.34.  Over the past 4 quarters, the company has reported 3 positive (>2%), 1 negative(<-2%), and 0 in-line (within 2%) surprises.  The average surprise for this time period has been 26.2%.  CXS’s current quarter consensus estimate has remained relatively  unchanged over the past 90 days at 0.31.  Estimates within its Industry have moved an average of 1.0% during the same time period.  During the past four weeks, analysts covering CXS have made 2 upward and 0 downward EPS estimate revisions for the current quarter.

New York Mortgage Trust, Inc., (NYMT) operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT) in the United States. The company engages in acquiring, investing, financing, and managing mortgage-related assets.  While New York Mortgage Trust Inc.’s earnings have increased from $0.11 to an estimated $0.35 over the past 5 quarters, they have shown acceleration in quarterly growth rates when adjusted for the volatility of earnings. This indicates an improvement in future earnings growth may occur.  NYMT is trading at $7.02 with a 14% yield.  NYMT has an outperform rating from Zacks Investment Research.

NYMT’s current quarter consensus estimate has decreased over the past 90 days from 0.34 to 0.33, a loss of -5.0%.  Consensus estimates for the Specialty Financials Industry have moved an average 1.0% during the same time period.  During the past four weeks, analysts covering NYMT have made no upward or downward EPS estimate revisions for the current quarter.

This 12% Dividend Yield is Still a Buy

Crexus Investment Corp. (CXS) operates as a specialty finance company in the United States. It acquires, manages, and finances commercial mortgage loans and commercial real estate debts, commercial mortgage-backed securities, and other commercial real estate-related assets.  The principal business objective is to provide attractive risk-adjusted returns to investors over the long-term, primarily through dividends and secondarily through capital appreciation.

CXS is trading at $11.21 and has a market cap of $865 million.  CXS raised their quarterly dividend from $0.30 to $0.35 in the 4th quarter, an increase of
16.7%.  CXS has a dividend yield of 12.49% that should remain solid in the near future.  CXS has increased its dividend for 8 straight quarters – from $0.07 in Q1 2010 to the current $0.35 in Q4 2011, a 400% increase within 2 years.

CXS reported fourth quarter core EPS of $0.49, $0.05 higher than the estimate. A larger than expected discount accretion accounted for the difference versus the estimate. GAAP EPS were $0.55 including $0.06 of gains from selling the Agency MBS portfolio.

Estimates: We are maintaining our 2012 and 2013 core EPS estimates and establishing a 2014 estimate at $1.35. Near-term visibility into earnings remains low given the volatility around discount accretion, but visibility should increase as the portfolio transition continues.

Investment activity: Crexus completed $143 million of investments during the fourth quarter including its first 2 triple net lease investments for a total
of $33 million. The company continues to make progress in transitioning the portfolio into longer duration higher yielding assets. We will look for management commentary on the call about the 2012 outlook for capital deployment given the sale of Agency portfolio and the current $200 million cash balance.

Revenues: Core net revenues totaled $41.4 million, 10% higher than the estimate.  For the fourth quarter discount accretion on the loan portfolio was $28.8 million versus $21.0 million expected and $30.9 million in the third quarter which accounted for most of the beat relative to estimates.

Valuation: Crexus is trading at a 6% discount to current book value and yielding 12.49%.

Reiterate Outperform: The transformation of the portfolio into higher yielding assets combined with the start of the triple net leasing investments increases our conviction that Crexus should trade at a premium to book value.  The current price to book is 0.94, buy CXS when it is below 1.0 and sell when it moves above 1.5.

Best Dividend Stocks for 2012 – Mortgage REITs

Attractive Returns to Continue, Prefer Non-Agency REITs

Prefer non-Agency: Heading into 2012 we think that the hybrid/non-Agency REITs generally offer more attractive value with the potential for more capital appreciation plus a more stable dividend outlook given the attractive reinvestment environment.

TWO remains top pick: Against this framework Two Harbors remains our top pick among the mortgage REITs.  The company has been opportunistically adding to its non-Agency position at incrementally accretive risk-adjusted yields.  This combined with the Agency portfolio with favorable prepayment characteristics gives us confidence in the sustainability of the current 16.8% yield.

Agency MBS: While the net interest spread opportunity in the Agency MBS space contracted during 2011 the returns remain attractive by historical standards.  In addition the reduced uncertainty around the prepay environment, specifically government actions, should make for a more predictable return path than in 2011.

Non-Agency MBS: In 2012 we continue to see the spread environment remaining attractive on a risk-adjusted basis with incremental spreads higher than the existing realized spreads.  It is more challenging to know how the securities will perform on a mark to market basis, which will be dependent on the broader
market risk appetite over the short-term.

Capital Raising: Given the attractive level of returns we see that the mortgage REITs will continue to have an appetite to raise additional capital.  The current gating factor is stock prices; current valuations would generally not allow the mortgage REITs to raise new stock at a price below book value.  We see the need for 6-7% premium in the group for offerings to become more likely.

Valuation: The relationship between price to book and ROE is less correlated today than it has been in the past as investors are putting a greater premium on safety versus returns.  This results in higher price to book multiples for the Agency REITs versus the broader group of hybrids.

The table below displays the mortgage REITs with the highest equity score (compellation of analyst opinions with 10 being Very Bullish).

Mortgage REITs for 2012, getrichinvestments.com

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Quality Stocks with High Yield Dividends

With so investors seeking high yield, it’s important for income investors to find dependable high yield dividend payers that they can count on.  With projections for a slower growth economy amid historically low  interest rates, it’s now more important than ever to find these solid dividend paying companies as there are fewer places to turn to for high yielding investments without taking on unwelcomed risk.  By screening for stocks with market beating yields, double digit growth rates, above median increasing cash flows and a strong balance sheet, this screen seeks to do just that by finding those companies that could turn into long-term core holdings for an income producing portfolio.  And with a Zacks Recommendation of a Buy or at least a Hold, these stocks have the potential to become total return winners as well.

Dividend paying stocks can help you build out a well diversified portfolio.  And if projections for a slower growth economy come true, the investment vehicles with ‘something extra’, i.e., solid and dependable dividends, will become even more highly sought after as investors seek out the best total returns while keeping a watchful eye on risk.

This list is filled with high yield stocks, many above 10%, that are ranked buy or hold by Zachs Investment Research.  Some of the popular names include: FUN that is being recommenmded by Jim Cramer; FSC & MAIN that are monthly dividend payers, CXS & PMT that offer mortgage REIT yields; and several energy stocks for continuing dividends.  The table belows displays the list of high yield dividend stocks.

high yield dividend stock with high quality ratings

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Dividends from High Quality, High Yield Stocks

With so many companies being affected by the financial crisis, it’s important for income investors to find dependable dividend payers that they can count on. With projections for a slower growth economy amid historically low interest rates, it’s now more important than ever to find these solid dividend paying companies as there are fewer places to turn to for high yielding investments without taking on unwelcomed risk.  By screening for stocks with market beating yields, double digit growth rates, above median increasing cash flows and a strong balance sheet, this screen seeks to do just that by finding those companies that could turn into long-term core holdings for an income producing portfolio.

If you have not heard of TWO, then take note as this is a 9 on a 10 point scale.  Two Harbors Investment (TWO) is a holding company. The company operates as a real estate investment trust focused on investing in, financing and managing residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS), and related investments. The company is externally managed and advised by PRCM Advisers LLC. The company’s target assets include the following: Agency RMBS, Non-Agency RMBS, and Financial assets other than RMBS, which include asset-backed securities and certain hedging transactions.

TWO is trading at $9.23 with a high dividend yield of 17%.  Yes, yields this high are scary but TWO is similar to Annaly as a mortage REIT.  EPS increased from $1.09 to an estimated $1.43 over the past 5 quarters indicating an improving growth rate. Analyst forecasts have recently been raised.  Company recently reported better than expected results.

Screening Criteria:
Dividend Yield Greater than or Equal to 5.00%; EPS Growth (Proj this Yr vs. Last Yr) – Greater than or Equal to 10.00%; P/E (This Year’s Estimate)Less than or Equal to 20.0; Cash Flow Growth Rate (TTM vs. Prior TTM) Greater than or Equal to 0.06%; Interest Coverage (Most Recent Qtr) Greater than or Equal to 3.0x; Security Price Greater than or Equal to $5.00.

 

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