Get Rich - Stay Rich - Investing for Monthly Income

Posts Tagged ‘covered call recommendation’

How to make $3K in Extra Monthly Income

The year 2016 was another stellar year of total returns and monthly income. Our perpetual covered call strategy was a big winner.  In this strategy, we create a covered call position to sell monthly call options for income and buy a long dated put option to protect our downside risk.  The put cost is spread across several months so the cost is low per month and will only slightly diminish our monthly income.

As we close out 2016 and reset for 2017, we are reviewing the results we obtained from the perpetual covered call strategy during the past year. In terms of total return as tracked in the monthly spreadsheets, the average across all positions was 27.8% during 2016. In the past year ending 12/17, the S&P 500 only returned 12.75% and the DJIA returned 16.8%. Therefore, we more than doubled the S&P and beat the Dow Jones significantly while generated significantly more income. The average monthly income across our open positions was $152 for each position with 100 stock shares! AND this includes the cost of having a long put to protect against downside risk on each position.

The average cost of 100 shares across all positions was $5,278 which generated an average of $152 of income each month. A $50K portfolio will generate an average of $1500 per month while a $100K portfolio creates $3,000 every month! This is proof our income strategy works. We target a 2-3% return per month on average.

We had no losing positions in our perpetual call portfolio in 2016. We had 3 positions with returns greater than 40%and all but one with returns greater than 12.7% of the S&P 500 in 2015.

The table below shows the results for each perpetual covered call position during 2016. This table is the same information as displayed in the monthly tables for each position (based on owning 100 shares of stock and selling one covered call each month). This is for portfolio tracking only as subscribers will own more than 100 shares and sell like size amount of call options for income each month.

2016-covered-call-results

 

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Winning in the Year of the Improbable

The word “improbable” is defined as not likely to be true or to happen. Have you noticed how many events have happened in 2016 that were improbable? The Cleveland Cavaliers were trailing 3 – 1 in the NBA Finals but rallied to win the first world championship for the city of Cleveland. Last night, the lovable losers, Chicago Cubs, completed a 3-1 rally to win the World Series. It ended a 108 year drought in Chicago for the Cubs. Now, this is an improbable event. There have been others such as the surprise Brexit vote that tanked markets a few months ago. What’s next? Does Trump win the presidency?

The stock markets have pulled back in the last week due to uncertainty around the election coupled with projected FED interest rate increases. Today, a talking head on CNBC was calling for investors to sell everything as the market is ready to crash! I have seen these types before and they don’t scare me. I plan to stick to doing what my investors do best – sell options for income.

Yes, markets will pullback when they lack clear direction. But I have some downside protection by selling options and continue to reap income along the way. If I just sit in a long stock position, its value will fluctuate with the market. I prefer to create income each month regardless of the market direction. I sell call options on the stock I own for both income and protection. When the market rebounds, I will sell put options for additional income too.

With this strategy, there is no improbable event. You get paid when you sell the options and can continue to compound your income.

You don’t need to worry about the next improbable event – join the Millionaire’s Club today.

Covered Call of the Month – 26% Annualized Return on this Stock

You have heard all of the old adages about investing such as there is no free lunch and many more.  In general, these saying suggest that higher returns will always require higher risk of some type.  Still, money managers and hedge funds continue to attempt to ink out higher returns on a risk adjusted basis through a numerous variety of customized approaches to stock selection, asset allocation, hedging strategies and so on.  For them, this is the holy grail that generates higher returns than their competitors or market averages.  In my opinion, investors can simplify this process through covered call writing.

Covered call writing consists of selling call options on stock whose shares you own.  This strategy places the investor somewhere between stock ownership and fixed income investments.  While the investor owns shares, they also create income from the premium received from selling call options on those shares.  While this strategy will not produce wealth overnight, it does produce a steady stream of income while owning shares of stock.  This strategy is designed to produce an annual return in the area of 15% on conservative stocks and higher as investors write calls on higher volatility stocks.

Covered Call of the Month

Celgene (NASDAQ: CELG) ended the last trading session at $95.02. So far the stock has hit a 52-week low of $66.85 and 52-week high of $96.15. CELG has had an S&P Capital IQ 5 STARS (out of 5) ranking since 10/23/2008. On 1/13/2014 S&P Capital IQ equity analysts set a 12-Month price target of $104.00 for the stock. Celgene stock has been showing support around $93.83 and resistance in the $95.89 range.

For a hedged play on this stock, consider a Nov ’14 covered call with a 95 sold call for a net debit in the $89.77 area. The strategy has an 81 day duration, provides 5.53% downside protection and a 5.83% assigned return rate for a 26.25% annualized return rate (for comparison purposes only). This strategy has a 4 Key (out of 5) Low Relative Risk ranking.  

A Covered Call Trade on Microsoft

Investor sentiment turned strongly bearish recently as emerging markets were hit by both country-specific problems and the realization that the Fed’s trimmed bond-buying program reduces the liquidity that has boosted higher-yielding emerging market assets and put a floor under U.S. stock prices.

The broad selloff in emerging markets over the recent weeks translated into the worst week for global stocks in seven months. The S&P 500 slid 2.6 percent, its largest weekly decline since June 2012.  Still, the S&P 500 is just 3.1 percent below its record closing high.  If the bears stay put, then the market could pull back over the coming months.

Due to the selling on Wall Street, investors were willing to pay more for spot protection against a drop in the S&P 500.  At this time, investors are concerned a market pullback may be overdue.

Investors should consider looking at blue chip stocks with low betas, nice dividend yields and sell some calls for downside protection and additional income.  A good choice is Microsoft (MSFT) with a current dividend yield of 2.77 percent and a beta of only 0.78.  In addition, the Company just beat earnings estimate and year over year earnings.

For the fiscal second quarter ended Dec. 31, revenue rose 14% to $24.52 billion, partly reflecting the release in November of a new Xbox videogame console and a fresh version of Microsoft’s

Surface tablet computer ahead of the holidays.

Overall, net income climbed to $6.56 billion, or 78 cents a share, compared with $6.38 billion, or 76 cents a share, in the year-ago quarter.  Analysts, on average, estimated Microsoft would post earnings of 68 cents a share on revenue of $23.7 billion, according to Thomson Reuters.

The company said its devices and consumer revenue grew 13% to $11.91 billion, while commercial revenue increased 10% to $12.67 billion.

On November 19, 2013 the board of directors at Microsoft had approved a dividend of $0.28 per share. The dividend is payable on March 13, 2014 to shareholders of record on February 20, 2014.

The stock has landed on the “Jefferies Highest Conviction Franchise Picks for Big Upside in 2014.”  Jeffries had this to say about Microsoft in this report, “With the Xbox One poised to be one of the fastest selling gaming consoles ever, the fourth-quarter sales for the company were outstanding. Investors are paid a very solid 3.1% dividend. The Jefferies price target for the software giant is $42.”

Last week, analysts at Deutsche Bank have upgraded their coverage of Microsoft to a Buy rating from a Hold, while raising their price target on the stock to $40 from $32 a share.

Also, Microsoft has an equity summary score of 9.4 out of 10 for a very bullish outlook according to a consensus of analysts.

Investors can look at selling a call option to get some downside protection and additional premium for income.  The basics of a covered call is that an investor can sell one call for every 100 shares of stock owned.

One potential covered call trade is to sell the March or April 2014 38 call option.  Under this scenario, your Microsoft shares will be called away if the stock price is above the strike price of 38 on March 22. So the investor is giving away the stock price upside as long as they are short the call.

However, investors will receive a call premium for each call sold.  This gives the investor downside protection to around the $36 price level.  Investors will also get the $0.28 dividend.  In total, this covered call trade with the cash dividend can potentially create a 5% return over the next 2 months.

How to Get 50% of Your Stock Purchase in Monthly Income Installments

A covered call trade is a very simple instrument to increase your monthly income. The basic idea is to sell a call option for every 100 shares of stock you own.  By selling the call option, the investor receives a premium which is what our investors call monthly income or monthly dividend payments.  We sell new call options each month to create new income – month after month.  This is in addition to the current dividend paid by stocks on a quarterly basis.

Here is an example of what subscribers to the Get Rich Monthly Income Plan achieved in 2013:

Subscribers purchased Holly Frontier in January 2013 for $46.35 per share. So purchasing 100 share of stock will cost a total of $4,635 plus commission costs.  At this time, HFC was paying a $0.30 per quarter dividend for a dividend yield of 2.59%.  This is a nice yield on a fairly stable stock but it gets even better.  In addition to the $1.20 in quarterly dividends, HFC paid $2.00 more per share in special dividends.  This increases the total dividends to $3.20 per share in 2013.  The addition of special dividends increases the stocks annual dividend yield to 6.9%.  Wow, a 6.9% dividend yield is great in this low yielding stock market!

But it gets even better for Get Rich Monthly Income Plan subscribers.  They sold a call option on each 100 shares of HFC stock they owned each month of 2013.  Based on our results, this created a total of $1,985 for the entire year.  This created an average monthly income of $165.42 by selling the call option which created the covered call trade.  The total premium income of $1,985 is about 40% of the total cost of entering the trade – $4635 at the beginning of the year.  Therefore, investors received nearly half of their initial investment in HFC back during the year through a simple monthly covered call trade.

Now, subscribers can add the three sources of income – quarterly dividend, special dividends and covered call income together to create a Monthly Income Plan.  In total, subscribers received $2,305 in additional income from owning 100 shares of HFC stock in 2013.  This is an average of $192 in additional income each month of 2013. And, the $2305 in income is 50% of the total amount of the initial investment in 100 share of HFC!

Covered Call Trades of the Month

Investors have been bracing for anything that could reverse at the last minute the market’s year-long rally, which saw the Dow and S&P 500 hit record highs again this week. The S&P 500 is up 26 percent this year and registered a sixth week of gains on Friday.  However, income investors seeking to trade covered call investments have been performing well too.

Below are two successful trades from the past month listed in the Monthly Income Plan at getrichinvestments.com .  Each month, income investors are creating income streams from selling covered call options against high quality stocks.  Here are some winning trades from the current newsletter:

Covered Call on USG Corp (USG)

STRATEGY: Look at the Nov 27 covered call. For each 100 shares of USG stock you buy, sell one Nov 27 covered call option for a $25.50 ($26.65 – $1.15) debit or better.

Actions: USG is currently trading at $27.66 at the close on 11/15 so the 27 call we sold is ITM.  These shares and call options will be called away.

This is a 5.88% return for one month and an estimated 70% annualized return.

 

Covered Call on Flour Corp (FLR)

 

STRATEGY: Look at the November 2013 77.5 covered call. For each 100 shares of FLR stock you buy, sell one Nov 2013 77.5 covered call option for a $74.89 (77.19 – 2.30) debit or better.  That’s potentially a 3.49% assigned return.

Actions: FLR is currently trading at $79.36 so the 77.5 call we sold is ITM.  These shares and call options will be called away on Friday (11/15).

This is a 3.49% return for one month and an estimated 42% annualized return.

Covered Call of Month – October Expiration

For subscribers to the Get Rich Monthly Income Plan, the monthly covered call trades all provided positive income from the selling of call option.  One of the better trades was FedEx (FDR) as the setup is shown below.  The covered call trade used a strike price of 120 as the stock closed well above this price on 10/18.  The trade provided a one month gain of 3.9% for covered call traders.

 

Covered Call on FedEx (FDX)

STRATEGY: Look at the Oct 120 covered call. For each 100 shares of FDX stock you buy, sell one Oct 120 covered call option for a $114.53 (116.83 – 1.30) debit or better. That’s potentially a 3.87% assigned return.

TREND:   The technicals for FDX are bullish with a strong upward trend. The stock has support at $107 and is above resistance. The company reported earnings today, Wednesday, September 18. S&P rates this stock 4 STARS (out of five) – buy.

BLANKET PUT: As a protective option to the covered call, you can buy the Jan 2013 110 Put for $3.20 to limit your stock downside to $110.00 per share. This put is not required for the covered call trade but serves as additional protection for those seeking to limit downside. You should sell the put when you exit the covered call position.

 

RESEARCH NOTES:  S&P maintains buy opinion on shares of Federal Express (FDX). We keep our FY 14 and FY 15 EPS estimates at $7.04 and $8.66. We raise our 12-month target price by $10 to $127, 18X our FY 14 estimate and towards the middle of its 10-year historical range of 9X-34X reported EPS. Q1 EPS of $1.53, vs. $1.45, is $0.02 below our estimate but $0.03 better than the Capital IQ consensus. FDX reaffirms FY 14 guidance of EPS growth of 7%-13%. We expect FDX to benefit from an improving global economy and its ongoing restructuring plan, and anticipate continued investor rotation into logistics stocks on good economic news.

New Covered Call on this Vice Stock

Constellation Brands (STZ), together with its subsidiaries, produces and markets beverage alcohol.  The stock was reiterated with a Buy rating by analysts at Stifel Nicolaus. The firm raised its price target on the stock to $69 from $64.  STZ Thursday posted better-than-expected Q2 results and said for FY 2014 it expects EPS of $2.80 to $3.10 per share. The Street is at $2.83 per share.  STZ is up 2.3% at $61.55, near the stock’s 52-week high of $62.15.

Here is a Covered Call Strategy:

STRATEGY: Look at the January 2014 60 covered call. For each 100 shares of Constellation Brands (STZ

) stock you buy, sell one January 2014 60 covered call option for a $57.38 (61.58 – 4.20) debit or better. That’s potentially a 4.6% assigned return.

COMMENT: The technicals for STZ are bullish with a strong upward trend. The stock has had support recently around 56.50. S&P rates this stock 4 STARS (out of five) – buy.

RISK: The stock has to drop 6.8% to threaten the break even point. This trade rates 3 keys out of 5 – moderate relative risk.

RESEARCH: S&P maintains Buy recommendation on shares of STZ. On revised forward multiple analysis, we lift our target price by $2 to $66 and our FY 14 (Feb.) and FY 15 EPS estimates by $0.12 and $0.07 to $2.90 and $3.55, respectively. Adjusted Aug-Q EPS of $0.96, vs. $0.71 exceeded our estimate of $0.85 on a significantly lower tax rate and expenses than our forecast. Crown depletions rose 7% on a strong summer selling season driven by healthy growth in Corona as well as expanded distribution for Modelo Especial. As production ramps in the Piedras Negras facility, we look for margins to improve in the beer segment.

 

Covered Call Trade of the Month

Investors seeking income in this volatile market can still sell covered call trades for both income and downside protection.  In the past month, the S&P 500 produced a return of 0.73%.  However, subscribers to the Get Rich Monthly Income Plan made off with a 4.7% return by trading a covered call on United Rentals (URI).  Here is the trade posted in July:

Covered Call on United Rentals (URI)

STRATEGY: Look at the August 55 covered call. For each 100 shares of United Rentals (URI) stock you buy, sell one August 55 covered call option for a $52.53 (55.63 – 3.10) debit or better.

Actions: URI is currently trading at $55.01 so the 55 call we sold is ATM.  These shares and call options should be closed on Friday (08/16) for a 4.70% assigned return.

 

Learn more here:

http://getrichinvestments.com/monthly-income-newsletter/

HFC pays 8th Special Dividend and Boosts Regular Dividend by 50%

Investors looking for a regular helping of special dividends should consider HollyFrontier Corporation (NYSE: HFC). The company just announced its 8th special dividend since August 2011.  In addition, HFC just juiced its regular dividend by 50%.

Subscribers to my Get Rich Monthly Income Plan received $31.00 per share in dividends in 2012 with a yield on cost of 12.5% in one year.  In addition, subscribers received $1,690 in call premiums on each 100 shares of HFC stock in 2012.  The covered call premiums accounts for a yield of 68% as subscribers utilized a special income technique called the perpetual covered call.  In total, Monthly income Plan subscribers booked a total return of 219% on HFC in 2012 alone!

HollyFrontier Corporation (HFC) announced today that its Board of Directors approved a 50% increase in the Company’s regular quarterly cash dividend to $0.30 per share from the current rate of $0.20 per share. This is the fifth increase in the regular dividend since the merger in July of 2011, representing a total increase of 300%. The regular dividend will be paid on April 2, 2013 to holders of record of common stock on March 15, 2013.

The Company also announced today a special cash dividend in the amount of $0.50 per share. The special dividend will be paid on March 19, 2013 to holders of record of common stock on March 5, 2013. This is the 8th special dividend declared by HollyFrontier since August 2011.

HFC’s stock price is up 70% in the past year but still trades at a low PE of 7.5 which is a 60% discount to the industry average PE ratio.  HFC has an equity summary score of 9.8 out of 10 for a VERY Bullish outlook.

Mike Jennings, CEO and President of HollyFrontier, said, “Our Board of Directors remains committed to delivering value to our shareholders through both a growing regular dividend as well as special dividends. After today’s 50% dividend increase, our current regular dividend yield is 2.2%, and our trailing twelve month cash dividend yield stands at 6.1% relative to today’s closing price of $53.72. Including today’s announcement, HollyFrontier has returned almost $1.3 billion in capital to shareholders through regular dividends, special dividends and buybacks since the July 2011 merger.”

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