Get Rich - Stay Rich - Investing for Monthly Income

Archive for the ‘Covered Call Trades’ Category

How to make $3K in Extra Monthly Income

The year 2016 was another stellar year of total returns and monthly income. Our perpetual covered call strategy was a big winner.  In this strategy, we create a covered call position to sell monthly call options for income and buy a long dated put option to protect our downside risk.  The put cost is spread across several months so the cost is low per month and will only slightly diminish our monthly income.

As we close out 2016 and reset for 2017, we are reviewing the results we obtained from the perpetual covered call strategy during the past year. In terms of total return as tracked in the monthly spreadsheets, the average across all positions was 27.8% during 2016. In the past year ending 12/17, the S&P 500 only returned 12.75% and the DJIA returned 16.8%. Therefore, we more than doubled the S&P and beat the Dow Jones significantly while generated significantly more income. The average monthly income across our open positions was $152 for each position with 100 stock shares! AND this includes the cost of having a long put to protect against downside risk on each position.

The average cost of 100 shares across all positions was $5,278 which generated an average of $152 of income each month. A $50K portfolio will generate an average of $1500 per month while a $100K portfolio creates $3,000 every month! This is proof our income strategy works. We target a 2-3% return per month on average.

We had no losing positions in our perpetual call portfolio in 2016. We had 3 positions with returns greater than 40%and all but one with returns greater than 12.7% of the S&P 500 in 2015.

The table below shows the results for each perpetual covered call position during 2016. This table is the same information as displayed in the monthly tables for each position (based on owning 100 shares of stock and selling one covered call each month). This is for portfolio tracking only as subscribers will own more than 100 shares and sell like size amount of call options for income each month.

2016-covered-call-results

 

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Covered Call Results for 2015

As we close out 2015, we are reviewing the results we obtained from the perpetual covered call strategy during the past year. In terms of total return as tracked in the monthly spreadsheets, the average across all positions was 44.2% during 2015. In the past year ending 12/17, the S&P 500 only returned 0.73% and the DJIA returned 0.76%. Therefore, we beat the market significantly and generated significantly more income. The average monthly income across our open positions was $145 for each position with 100 stock shares!

The table below shows the results for each perpetual covered call position during 2015. This table is the same information as displayed in the monthly tables for each position (based on owning 100 shares of stock and selling one covered call each month). Note Kroger stock split during the year as shown in the table.

Compared to the market averages, all of our perpetual covered call positions finished above the market. We had 2 positions with returns above 50% – HAS and CVS. Interestingly, the average price increase was only 0.4%! This clearly shows we make our returns based on monthly premiums and dividends. This indicates this strategy can make money in a side and downward trending market.

As we start 2016, we will share a new list of perpetual covered call trades. We will add to these as the year proceeds forward with new trades based on what happens in the market.

If you have any open puts, they will need to be closed out. We will be starting with new protective puts for each position we have open and start throughout the year. To lower the cost, we will be buying puts that are long-dated for Jan 2017. This will provide protection throughout the year and allow investors to allocate the put cost over more months.

 

 

 

A Covered Call Trade on Microsoft

Investor sentiment turned strongly bearish recently as emerging markets were hit by both country-specific problems and the realization that the Fed’s trimmed bond-buying program reduces the liquidity that has boosted higher-yielding emerging market assets and put a floor under U.S. stock prices.

The broad selloff in emerging markets over the recent weeks translated into the worst week for global stocks in seven months. The S&P 500 slid 2.6 percent, its largest weekly decline since June 2012.  Still, the S&P 500 is just 3.1 percent below its record closing high.  If the bears stay put, then the market could pull back over the coming months.

Due to the selling on Wall Street, investors were willing to pay more for spot protection against a drop in the S&P 500.  At this time, investors are concerned a market pullback may be overdue.

Investors should consider looking at blue chip stocks with low betas, nice dividend yields and sell some calls for downside protection and additional income.  A good choice is Microsoft (MSFT) with a current dividend yield of 2.77 percent and a beta of only 0.78.  In addition, the Company just beat earnings estimate and year over year earnings.

For the fiscal second quarter ended Dec. 31, revenue rose 14% to $24.52 billion, partly reflecting the release in November of a new Xbox videogame console and a fresh version of Microsoft’s

Surface tablet computer ahead of the holidays.

Overall, net income climbed to $6.56 billion, or 78 cents a share, compared with $6.38 billion, or 76 cents a share, in the year-ago quarter.  Analysts, on average, estimated Microsoft would post earnings of 68 cents a share on revenue of $23.7 billion, according to Thomson Reuters.

The company said its devices and consumer revenue grew 13% to $11.91 billion, while commercial revenue increased 10% to $12.67 billion.

On November 19, 2013 the board of directors at Microsoft had approved a dividend of $0.28 per share. The dividend is payable on March 13, 2014 to shareholders of record on February 20, 2014.

The stock has landed on the “Jefferies Highest Conviction Franchise Picks for Big Upside in 2014.”  Jeffries had this to say about Microsoft in this report, “With the Xbox One poised to be one of the fastest selling gaming consoles ever, the fourth-quarter sales for the company were outstanding. Investors are paid a very solid 3.1% dividend. The Jefferies price target for the software giant is $42.”

Last week, analysts at Deutsche Bank have upgraded their coverage of Microsoft to a Buy rating from a Hold, while raising their price target on the stock to $40 from $32 a share.

Also, Microsoft has an equity summary score of 9.4 out of 10 for a very bullish outlook according to a consensus of analysts.

Investors can look at selling a call option to get some downside protection and additional premium for income.  The basics of a covered call is that an investor can sell one call for every 100 shares of stock owned.

One potential covered call trade is to sell the March or April 2014 38 call option.  Under this scenario, your Microsoft shares will be called away if the stock price is above the strike price of 38 on March 22. So the investor is giving away the stock price upside as long as they are short the call.

However, investors will receive a call premium for each call sold.  This gives the investor downside protection to around the $36 price level.  Investors will also get the $0.28 dividend.  In total, this covered call trade with the cash dividend can potentially create a 5% return over the next 2 months.

Covered Call Trade of the Month

Investors seeking income in this volatile market can still sell covered call trades for both income and downside protection.  In the past month, the S&P 500 produced a return of 0.73%.  However, subscribers to the Get Rich Monthly Income Plan made off with a 4.7% return by trading a covered call on United Rentals (URI).  Here is the trade posted in July:

Covered Call on United Rentals (URI)

STRATEGY: Look at the August 55 covered call. For each 100 shares of United Rentals (URI) stock you buy, sell one August 55 covered call option for a $52.53 (55.63 – 3.10) debit or better.

Actions: URI is currently trading at $55.01 so the 55 call we sold is ATM.  These shares and call options should be closed on Friday (08/16) for a 4.70% assigned return.

 

Learn more here:

http://getrichinvestments.com/monthly-income-newsletter/

How to Make Monthly Income in a Sideway Moving Market

Expectations for the third quarter earnings were dismal, with forecasts for a decline in profits from a year ago.  But a recent flurry of high-profile reports has investors scowling at the weak revenue numbers, adding to worries about the state of the U.S. economy and the outlook for corporate America.

IBM, General Electric and Microsoft fell short of revenue expectations, creating a sour mood early in the third-quarter reporting period.  This has led to a market that is moving nowhere too soon.  For the last month (Sept 24 – Oct 19), the benchmark S&P 500 Index is only up 0.4% while the PowerShares S&P 500 BuyWrite Portfolio (PBP) is down 0.95%.

Where can income investors go for monthly income in a sideway moving market?

One option is to look at a covered call strategy for monthly income.  A covered call strategy provides income from the premium received when a call option is sold against 100 shares of a stock.  In general, a covered call makes money when the stock price goes nowhere (like today’s market), when the stock price increases and provides downside protection when a stock slightly declines in price.

Subscribers to the Monthly Income Plan had exceptional returns from the monthly covered call trades.  We enter 4 monthly covered call trades on September 24 2012 for trades to expire on October 19 2012.  This is a total of 26 calendar days for these covered call trades.

The results included:

a 6.75% monthly return on the United Rentals, Inc. NYSE: URI covered call;

6.57% on the USG Corporation NYSE: USG covered call;

5.09% on the Royal Caribbean Cruises NYSE:RCL covered call;

and a 5.4% return on the SanDisk Corporation NASDAQ: SNDK covered call.

This is an average return of 5.95% in one month on these 4 covered call trades.  For comparison purposes, this is an annualized return of 83.6%.

These trades significantly beat the S&P 500 and PBP Buy-Write for the last month.  For income investors, they made $595 for every $10,000 invested in these 4 combined covered call trades.

Click here to subscribe to the Monthly Income Plan to get new covered call trades each month for only $19.95 per month.

 

Chevron Is Right For This Option Strategy

Chevron Corporation, through its subsidiaries, engages in petroleum, chemicals, mining, power generation, and energy operations worldwide. It operates in two segments, Upstream and Downstream.  CVX has an equity score of 9.6 (VERY BULLISH) out of a 10.  This is a covered call position on Chevron Corp (CVX),

OPTION STRATEGY:

Look at the June 95 covered call. For each 100 shares of Chevron Corporation (CVX) stock you buy, sell one June 95 covered call option for an 96.70 (100.30 – 3.60) debit or better. That’s potentially a 3.4% assigned return.

STOCK TREND:

The technicals for CVX are bullish with a weak downward trend.  The stock is under distribution with support at 101.95.  S&P rates this stock 5 STARS (out of five) – strong buy.

RESEARCH NOTES:

S&P maintains strong buy recommendation on shares of Chevron Corp. (CVX) . CVX sees ’12 capex at $32.7B, up from $28B, before acquisition, expected in ’11.  Upstream is slated at $28B (87%), with major capex at LNG and deepwater projects.  We think it will comfortably fund this plan, and possibly boost dividends and buybacks via projected cash flow.  We see CVX thriving from a smaller refining footprint, where Asian exposure will help future results.  About 69% of production is higher-margin oil.  Shares have outperformed peers and benchmarks in ’11, but discounted valuations and solid near/long-term growth visibility remain highly attractive, in our view.

Covered Write on American Tower (AMT)

American Tower Corporation (AMT) is a holding company. It is a wireless and broadcast communications infrastructure company that owns, operates and develops  communications sites. Its primary business includes leasing antenna space on multi-tenant communications sites to wireless service providers and radio and  television broadcast companies. This business is its rental and management operations. The Company also offers tower-related services domestically,  including site acquisition, zoning and permitting services and structural analysis services, which primarily support its site leasing business and the addition of new tenants and equipment on its sites. On August 6, 2010, the Company’s, Transcend Infrastructure Limited, acquired Essar Telecom Infrastructure Private  Limited (ETIPL). On June 29, 2010, it acquired 113 towers from Telefonica Chile S.A. As of December 31, 2010, the Company acquired 475 towers from  Telefonica del Peru S.A.A.

This is a covered call trade for monthly income using AMT as the underlying stock.  AMT has a neutral equity score of 5.8 in a 10 point scalle by analyst covering the stock.

OPTION STRATEGY:

Look at the January 2012 59.65 covered call. For each 100 shares of American Tower Corp (AMT) stock you buy, sell one January 59.65 covered call option for a 57.19 (58.69 – 1.50) debit or better.  That’s potentially a 4.3% assigned return.

STOCK TECHNICALS:

The technicals for AMT are bullish with a weak upward trend.  The stock is under accumulation with support at 57.67.  S&P rates this stock 5 STARS (out of five) – strong buy.

RESEARCH NOTES:
S&P maintains strong buy opinion on shares of American Tower (AMT) .  AMT announced it plans to acquire roughly 2,500 towers from Telefonica’s (TEF) subsidiary inMexico, Pegasos PCS, for roughly $500M.  We view the planned deal as a positive as it roughly doubles AMT’s exposure to Mexico and these towers should benefit from the recent spectrum auctions and the launch of new technologies.  We believe this also demonstrates AMT’s desire to remain in a growth mode while also looking to achieve REIT status. We maintain our 12-month target price of $74, based on 24X our ’12 free cash flow estimate, a slight premium to peers.

 

Covered Call Trade on Deere and Company (DE)

This is a covered write on Deere and Company (DE) for the December 2012 expiration.  Deere & Company provides products and services primarily for agriculture and forestry worldwide. The company operates in three segments: Agriculture and Turf, Construction and Forestry, and Credit.

OPTION STRATEGY:

Look at the December 72.5 covered call. For each 100 shares of Deere and Co (DE) stock you buy, sell one December 72.5 covered call option for a 70.14 (73.64 – 3.50) debit or better. That’s potentially a 3.36% assigned return in 19 days.   That is a 63.66% anualized gain (comparable purposes only) on this short trade.

TRADE TECHICALS:

The technicals for DE are bullish with a weak upward trend.  The stock is under accumulation with support at 74.06. S&P rates this stock 4 STARS (out of five) – buy.

RESEARCH NOTES:

S&P maintains buy opinion on shares of Deere (DE) .  Oct-Q EPS of$1.62, vs. $1.07, beats our est. by $0.23.  Revenue gain of 20% was in line with our est., on strong equipment demand, but costs were controlled better than we expected.  Most encouraging, in our view, is DE’s equipment outlook, with its guidance of 15% growth in FY 12 (Oct.) equipment sales, well in excess of our prior 10% est.  Our long-term view also stays positive, on growing needs for food and infrastructure.  We raise our FY 12 EPS estimate by$1.00 to $8.60, and initiate FY 13’s at $9.60.  We keep our target price at $99, in line with historical relative metrics.

Covered Call Write on Agilent Technologies (A)

Below is the option strategy for a covered write on Agilent Technologies (A).  This will produce monthly investment income over a 30 day time period.

OPTION STRATEGY:

Look at the December 2011 39 covered call.  For each 100 shares of Agilent Technologies (A) stock you buy, sell one December 2011 39 covered call option for a 37.65 (39.85 – 2.20) debit or better.  That’s potentially a 3.6% assigned return in 30 days or comparable to a 43.8% annualized return.

TECHNICALS:

The technicals for A are bullish with a weak upward trend. The stock is under accumulation with support at 37.03. S&P rates this stock 4 STARS (out of five) – buy.

RISK:

For investors seeking more downside protection, buy the May 2012 37 PUT for $4.50.  Sell the put when you exit the covered call trade.  The PUT protection is optional and not required to place the covered call trade.

RESEARCH NOTES:
S&P maintains buy opinion on shares of Agilent (A).  Oct-Q adjusted EPS of $0.84 vs. $0.65 is $0.04 ahead of our estimate.  Sales rose 10%, slightly below our 11% forecast.  Electronic measurement gained 12%, Chemical Analysis increased 4%, and Life Sciences grew 9%.  We are encouraged by the solid growth in Life Sciences, but see continued uncertainty in the U.S. government and academic end-markets. Agilent (A) indicated surprisingly stable and improving European academic markets.  The company guides FY 12 (Oct.) sales of $6.85B-$7.15B and EPS of $3.00-$3.35, in line with our estimates.  We keep our 12-month target price at $48.
Covered call write on Agilient Tecnology

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Covered Call Write on Advanced Auto Parts

Covered Call trade on Advanced Auto Parts (AAP).

OPTIONS STRATEGY:

Look at the December 2011 70 covered call.  For each 100 shares of Advance Auto Parts (AAP) stock you buy, sell one December 2011 70 covered call option for a 67.06 (69.31 – 2.25) debit or better. That’s potentially a 4.38% assigned return.  This stock also pays a dividend which may add another 0.1% to the return. The stocks last ex-dividend date was 9/21/2011.

TECHNICALs:

The technicals for AAP are bullish with a possible trend reversal.   The stock is under distribution with support at 64.38. S&P rates this stock 5 STARS (out of five) – strong buy.

RISK:

For those wanting downside protection, buy the March 2012 65 put for 3.50.  Sell the put when you exit the covered call.  This is optional for the covered call to protect the downside of AAP at 65.

RESEARCH NOTES:
S&P reiterates strong buy recommendation on shares of Advance Auto Parts (AAP) .   For the 12-weeks ended October 8, EPS of $1.41, vs. $1.03, is $0.22 above our estimate.   While comp-store sales rose just 2.2%, this quarter lapped an exceptional 9.9% increase in the year-ago period, providing a challenging hurdle.   We continue to favor industry fundamentals, and expect global sourcing efforts and supply chain investments to drive improved gross margins over the medium term.  As a result, we are increasing our ’11 and ’12 EPS estimates to $4.96 and $5.71 from $4.72 and $5.47, and are also raising our DCF-based target price by $5 to $85.
EARNINGS HIGHLIGHTS:
  • On 11/09/11, the company announced quarterly earnings of 1.41 per share, a positive surprise of 19.4% above the consensus 1.18.  Over the past 4 quarters, the company has reported 3 positive (>2%), 1 negative(<-2%), and 0 in-line (within 2%) surprises.  The average surprise for this time period has been 5.0%.
  • AAP’s current quarter consensus estimate has remained relatively unchanged over the past 90 days at 0.68.  Estimates within its Subsector have moved an average of 0.0% during the same time period.
  • During the past four weeks, analysts covering AAP have made 1 upward and 0 downward EPS estimate revisions for the current quarter.
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