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Selling Time Value of Options

When selling time value, you will use a different philosophy than those stock investors looking for a stock to go up in price.  Your gains will come from the time value of the options you will sell.  This approach to stock selection is unusual.  Most investors use fundamental analysis or technical analysis while you will use the time value of s stock’s options, tempered by fundamentals and long-term hold principles.

Deciding to create a covered call trade requires choosing an expiration month and strike price.  Option strategies require making modifications during the life of an option trade.  The option expiration month you select will have significant impact on the success of any option trade.

There are at least four different expiration months available for every stock on which options trade.  Initially, the CBOE set up only four months for options but later LEAPS were introduced so it was possible for options to be traded for more than four months on stocks with LEAPS options.  When stock options first began trading, each stock was assigned to one of three cycles: January, February or March.  Stocks assigned to January cycles will offer options in the months of January, April, July and October.  The same quarterly sequence will hold for the February and March option cycles.  Under the new rules, the first two months are always available but for the later months the original option cycles are used.

To select a stock for your covered call portfolio, you must have available a current option chain list.  You can select the expiration month based on the time value of the stock options and the strike price.  Then, if the stock meets your stock selection criteria, but it as the underlying stock in your portfolio.

To get an annual return of 20% or more, you must find available options with time value that will produce a 2% return each month or 5% each three months on the price of the stock.  Using the option chain list, you can calculate the percentage of stock price that the time value represents.  Of all the optionable stocks, you can find at least 5 to 10 stocks to consider.  If the time value seems attractive, then look at the fundamental and technical analysis to make your decisions.

Personally, I like to sell an option in the current or next month with a time value return of no less than 3%.  However, I will caution all covered writers  to proceed with caution if the time value return is very high as usually there is something pending with the underlying stock such as a news event, earning  release and other items.  Volatility can play a significant role in the pricing of options so the higher priced time value options usually have a significantly higher volatility.

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What Option Open Interest Means to the Trader

Option open interest is the number of options contracts open in a specific option series.  Open interest serves as a measure of option liquidity in the underlying option series.  The higher the open interest, the tighter the bid/ask spreads will be so slippage in trades will be lower.  When looking at option series, you want to be sure open interest is at least 5,000 and that the bid/ask spreads are no larger than 20 point apart.

When net buying or selling occurs in the underlying security, the open interest will show this change in the same direction of trader moves.  Increases in call open interest indicate the underlying is advancing up while increases in put open interest indicate more selling pressure.

Here are some rules on how to interpret open interest levels for OTM calls and puts in relation to the stock’s price movement:

  • Growing OI in Calls – confirms strength of stock’s advance
  • Declining OI in Calls – bearish divergence of stock’s advance
  • Flat OI in Calls – slightly bearish as no additional support for stock advance
  • Growing OI in Puts – confirmation of stock’s decline
  • Declining OI in Puts – slightly bullish as no additional support for stock decline
  • Flat OI in Puts – slightly bullish as it is not confirming decline

The growing interest in OTM and ATM options will confirm the stocks continued movement in the same direction.  Basically, this means the traders who have
been right are still buying more options for continuing the same direction.  In comparison, when open interest falls it indicates that traders are leaving the trade so it will likely end the current movement.  Traders are taking their money off the table.

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Support and Resistance levels for the Covered Call Writer

One of the keys to covered call writing success is knowing how to determine support and resistance levels.  A support level is a stock price low that the price has hit and recovered from to advance back up due to more buying than selling of shares.  This is referred to as the trading floor until a stock price breaks below it.  The resistance level is a higher level that the stock price has hit and pulled back due to more selling than buying of shares.  This ceiling acts as resistance that the stock price must break through to advance higher.

The more times the price has hit a support or resistance level, the stronger it is and more difficult to move through it.  The longer it takes for the stock to test
these levels, the stronger they are to break through.  For example, an intraday test is not as strong as a one week test of these levels.  The higher the stock volume at the level, the stronger the level is holding.  For example, if volume is above average and the stock price doesn’t break out then the level will hold and be more difficult to go through.

Most technicians draw the support and resistance levels at the lowest and highest price points on a stock chart.  If stock price reached a certain support or
resistance level multiple times, you can safely disregard a single price spike above or below these levels.

How can the covered call writer use these support and resistance levels.  If a quality stock has successfully tested the support levels, then you know where the price bottom is for that stock.  You can also use the support level to tell you when to react as a break below support requires a new decision on what to do with your covered call – close it, roll out, etc.  The other use of support and resistance for the call writer is to delay entering a new trade when a support or resistance level is being tested.  These price points should be watched closely to see if they hold.  If they do not hold, then be prepared to make
a decision on managing the covered call trade.

As income investors, we seek to create consistent monthly income by selling options to collect monthly premiums. We focus on the Monthly Income Report which is published the weekend following option expiration each month. To supplement members, we will publish additional trades and income opportunities

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You Can Help End Poverty

Income Trade for 45%

As income investors, we seek to create consistent monthly income by selling options to collect monthly premiums. This has been successful for our investors for years. Option selling offers another method to diversify investing strategies beyond traditional dividend investing. We have combined technical stock events with our strategy to identify high returns option selling opportunities. This income trade will generate a return of 45% annualized. We are coming off great trades such as RES and STM.

Stock: Gaslog (GLOG) is an international owner, operator and manager of liquefied natural gas (LNG) carriers. The Company provides support to international energy companies as part of their LNG logistics chain. The Company’s owned consolidated fleet consists of 27 LNG carriers, including 22 ships in operation and five LNG carriers on order.

Trend: We have detected a “Continuation Diamond (Bullish)” chart pattern formed on GasLog Ltd (GLOG). This bullish signal indicates that the price may rise from the close of 17.45 to the range of 22.00. The pattern formed over 244 days which is roughly the period of time in which the target price range may be achieved. GasLog Ltd has a current support price of 16.80 and a resistance level of 17.60.

Strategy: We have an opportunity to sell options for income with GLOG as the stock should trade higher in the coming weeks. I recommend to place your trade and exit when you have locked in profits due to the stock price moving higher. Our goal here is to make income short term so we can exit and compound capital into another trade.

For medium risk option trade, look to sell an November 2017 17.5 PUT for about $1.00. This creates a return of 6.0% with 49 days to expiration. This is an annualized 45% return.

For a conservative trade, you can setup a covered call trade. You can purchase 100 shares of RES and sell an November 17.5 CALL option for about $0.80.

We continue to identify winning option trades to generate income and to exit early as the stock bullish patterns moves prices higher.

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How to Beat the Market in 2017

As we start a new year, every investor should ask themselves this question: Did you beat the market in 2016? According to an article on CNBC “Most investors didn’t come close to beating the S&P 500”. The rationale is discussed as:

Bad market timing and poor stock picking kept most investors from fully reaping the gains of the bull market last year. “The average investor held too much in cash, was too concentrated in stocks that didn’t perform well and avoided financial stocks that rallied last year,” said Hart Lambur, co-founder and CEO of Openfolio, a social network with more than 70,000 members who share their investment portfolios.

The average investor on Openfolio had a gain of roughly 5 percent in 2016. That lagged the nearly 12 percent total return of the S&P 500, which includes dividends, by more than 7 percentage points last year. 

Part of the lag can be attributed to investors having a diversified portfolio. That is a good thing because it smooths volatility and can improve returns over long periods. Yet when you consider that a balanced portfolio of 60 percent U.S. stocks and 40 percent U.S. bonds would have generated roughly 7 percent last year, Openfolio investors still fall short by 2 percentage points.”

How can investors beat the market?

Our newsletter beat the S&P 500 handedly in 2016 with a 27.8% return! In reviewing the results we obtained from the perpetual covered call strategy during the past year. In terms of total return as tracked in the monthly spreadsheets, the average across all positions was 27.8% during 2016. In the past year ending 12/17, the S&P 500 only returned 12.75% and the DJIA returned 16.8%. Therefore, we more than doubled the S&P and beat the Dow Jones significantly while generated significantly more income. The average monthly income across our open positions was $152 for each position with 100 stock shares! AND this includes the cost of having a long put to protect against downside risk on each position.

The average cost of 100 shares across all positions was $5,278 which generated an average of $152 of income each month. A $50K portfolio will generate an average of $1500 per month while a $100K portfolio creates $3,000 every month! This is proof our income strategy works. We target a 2-3% return per month on average.

Join our investing community and beat the market in 2017!

How to make $3K in Extra Monthly Income

The year 2016 was another stellar year of total returns and monthly income. Our perpetual covered call strategy was a big winner.  In this strategy, we create a covered call position to sell monthly call options for income and buy a long dated put option to protect our downside risk.  The put cost is spread across several months so the cost is low per month and will only slightly diminish our monthly income.

As we close out 2016 and reset for 2017, we are reviewing the results we obtained from the perpetual covered call strategy during the past year. In terms of total return as tracked in the monthly spreadsheets, the average across all positions was 27.8% during 2016. In the past year ending 12/17, the S&P 500 only returned 12.75% and the DJIA returned 16.8%. Therefore, we more than doubled the S&P and beat the Dow Jones significantly while generated significantly more income. The average monthly income across our open positions was $152 for each position with 100 stock shares! AND this includes the cost of having a long put to protect against downside risk on each position.

The average cost of 100 shares across all positions was $5,278 which generated an average of $152 of income each month. A $50K portfolio will generate an average of $1500 per month while a $100K portfolio creates $3,000 every month! This is proof our income strategy works. We target a 2-3% return per month on average.

We had no losing positions in our perpetual call portfolio in 2016. We had 3 positions with returns greater than 40%and all but one with returns greater than 12.7% of the S&P 500 in 2015.

The table below shows the results for each perpetual covered call position during 2016. This table is the same information as displayed in the monthly tables for each position (based on owning 100 shares of stock and selling one covered call each month). This is for portfolio tracking only as subscribers will own more than 100 shares and sell like size amount of call options for income each month.

2016-covered-call-results

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Click to enlarge chart

Are You a Penta Millionaire Yet?

In a recent article published in Barron’s, “Penta Millionaires: the New Rising Class” it discusses families with net worth over $5 million as a fast growing class in America. While this is correct about the changing of wealth, it still separates the wealthy from the other classes. While we all strive to attain our definition of success, the media continues to focus on the upper class. Let me share a secret with you, you can still have a productive and fun-loving life without being in the top income bracket. This is why we write a monthly income newsletter – to help those wanting to better their life and create a sustainable monthly income.

Here are some excerpts from the Barron’s article:

It is fair to say that at no time in history have so many Americans become so rich—or amassed their wealth so quickly. When John D. Rockefeller took title as the country’s first billionaire, in 1916, it was as rare an event as sighting a white whale, and seven decades later, the number of billionaires had still only reached 44. Since then, however, the ranks of the megarich have surged ahead with a caffeinated velocity.

At every level of the wealth pyramid, according to Penta’s research partner Boston Consulting Group, the ranks of millionaire and multimillionaire households have expanded. Last year, for example, there were 492 U.S. billionaires, meaning that 100 new billionaires were created in the past five years alone. But the most interesting trend is a little further down the pyramid: The number of households with more than $5 million in investible assets just crossed the one million mark, up 5% from 2014.

Flash forward to recent times. The rank-and-file rich have grown by just 5% a year recently, but this steady if modest climb over seven years has actually delivered better results. We now have a million-strong army of very rich emerging from the ho-hum, low-inflation economic growth that has been coupled with robust capital markets. Many have, in this calm environment, quietly sold off their private business or cashed in their stock-option windfalls.

At Get Rich Investments, we focus on creating stream of income to improve life and become financially independent. Once you learn how to create monthly income, you now control your own destiny. We have several investing strategies focused on low risk trade such as covered calls, selling cash-secured puts, buying monthly dividend CEFs and collecting divide3nds from world-class stocks. This is the way to increase your wealth on a monthly basis.

One strategy is the Put Call Dividend (PCD) Strategy where we sell puts for income to enter a position, then sell covered calls for income while collecting dividends. This creates three income streams from a single investing position. This positions the investor in a low risk position as you can continue to create option income each month by selling puts and calls on the same stock. If the market goes up – you make income. Same for when a stock pulls back – keep selling options for income. It is like collecting rent on a rental property each month – without the hassles of a tenant.

I can’t promise you will be a Penta Millionaire, but you will definitely create more income and move toward becoming financially independent.

Learn more about getting started on your wealth journey today.

Creating Multiple Income Streams with CEFs

An income investor has several investments available to create income streams. Most turn to dividend stocks and bonds to create consistent cash flows for their living expenses. While both of these investments will provide income, there are additional vehicles to produce money flows. One I like to use is closed-end funds or CEFs. These investments trade like stocks with a market price and can be easily purchased during trading hours on all stock exchanges.

Investors have nearly 400 CEFs to choose from that pay monthly distributions (see listing included). Simply, an investor can create a diversified portfolio of CEFs to create monthly income. Most investors should look at selecting five or more CEFs in different investment categories or type of objective. There are cases with investors creating numerous CEFs such as 30 funds to average one paycheck per day. I guess you can call this one check per day or daily paychecks.

The 10-year Treasury note touched its second-lowest yield before regaining some ground to finish at around 1.51%. The 30-year Treasury was offering a yield of 2.234% last week.  Those meager yields mean that despite grousing about elevated stock valuations and poor corporate quarterly results, investors aren’t finding a lot of safe options to put their money and eke out a decent return. Bespoke statisticians say 41% of stocks on the S&P 500 offer a richer yield than the so-called long bond, or 30-year note. And more than 60% pay a better yield than the benchmark 10-year note. A great alternative is investing in CEFs.

CEFs have some differences compared to stocks such as they have a publically known net asset value or NAV. The NAV is the sum value of the funds holding or intrinsic value. The CEF may trade at a market value that us different than the NAV. This makes it easy for investors to determine if the fund is trading at a premium or discount to its true value or NAV. As an investor, you want to purchase CEFs at a discount to NAV as this can be like buying a $1 of assets for $0.90 or whatever the discount to NAV. Who doesn’t want to buy funds at a discounted price or on sale!

To create a successful CEF portfolio, an investor should create a diversified portfolio of monthly paying CEFs trading at a discount to NAV. The investor can reinvest some dividends to increase their payments over time. This investing strategy can be used to replace income from employment or to supplement other types of income.

The Western Asset Emerging Markets Debt Fund (ESD) is a closed-end fund that invests in bonds issued by emerging-market governments and corporations. As income investors, we love the 8.5% yield… And as value investors, we love that the fund is available for an 13% discount to its NAV. On top of that, bonds are traditionally safer investments than stocks, even in emerging markets. ESD has an extremely diverse portfolio of 235 different holdings. Its largest country allocation, Mexico, only accounts for 13% of its portfolio. And 97% of its holdings are denominated in U.S. dollars.

How would you like 10 monthly income checks from your portfolio?

Subscribe today for more monthly income checks… you will make your money back on your first investment.

 

 

How to Earn Double Digit Income from Investing

Financial independence is based on creating enough income to fund the life you choose to live. Most people works their entire life to reach this point. This is not a slam on working for a living as I have been there and actually enjoyed many of the jobs I have occupied. There is a plan to create regular monthly income by investing in a low risk strategy. This is not any get rich overnight schemes or buy some penny stocks and hope they hit it big. I will show you how many are achieving additional income by following a simple plan to achieve the financial results that are seeking.

Today, I prefer to create income from what I will share with you in this writing – create income by selling options and collecting dividends on high quality dividend stocks. My simple objection when starting was to capture $1 million dollars from the market by using this market strategy. I am enjoying this journey and hope you have a big goal to achieve in your financial life. Think about it – to make millions in the market using option strategies. You should be getting excited about the possibility of making this kind of money!

The face of retirement in America has changed radically in recent decades. People are living longer. Pensions are increasingly rare. Add in market volatility, as well as questions surrounding the long-term feasibility of Social Security, and it’s no wonder many people feel anxious about funding their retirement.

If you were a newly hired employee at a Fortune 500 company in 1998, you likely had access to a defined benefit plan. But, by 2015, only 20% did. Over that same seventeen year stretch, 23% of Fortune 500 employers froze their primary DB plan and 15% closed DB plans to new hires. Today, the responsibility of financing your retirement is likely to fall squarely on your shoulders.

There are numerous ways to invest for income. Most often investors look to dividend stocks and bonds to generate income. Stock dividend yields can produce 3-5% or more of income on an annual basis. This is a good source of income usually payable on a quarterly time period. Some investors, like our group at getrichinvestments.com, sell call options on stocks to create covered call trades. These trades allow investors to collect the premium from the option calls sold on owned stocks. We target monthly returns between 1-3% and frequently make more on good months. I also exercise an additional strategy for income. I will sell put options on stocks to collect option premium. I find this not only creates income but it also decreases my market risk.

Some advisory services charge $3000 to $5000 per year for this service.  We don’t make our income from subscribers’ backs – we conduct the same strategy and trades as our readers.  We provide a great professional service to help investors create monthly income at a very reasonable price.

Join us today to create your own million dollar journey.  Get started here.. monthly income newsletter

The Secret to Great Investment Returns

People ask me all the time what is the real secret to great investing returns.  They have lost faith in the talking heads on TV who are selling their latest investments hyped as the place to be in today’s market.  Often times these investments only separate the investor from their money. I have a proven strategy that is more rational so any investor can generate income by investing in great companies. My premise is cash doesn’t lie so when you have it in hand (or in your investing account), you know you have made money.  Probably the two most important attributes to making money on a stock investment is (1) buying a great business model; and (2) buying at the right price. I constantly see investors buying a great business but at a price too high to ever generate a return.

I have this thought leadership built into my investing strategy. One, I only buy great blue-chip stocks that have validated profit margins and competitive advantages. Many refer to these stocks as market dominators because they have well recognized brands such as Walmart, Intel and others. Two, I look to invest in these great companies at the right price. My research will point me to these stocks trading below fair value. These are the companies that will give us market beating returns with lower than average risk.

We further lower the purchase price by selling puts on the great stocks we want to own. Each month or so, we will sell a put options at the money to collect premium income. This premium income lowers the purchase price with each sell until the stock gets put to us. For example, selling an option put for $1.00 per contract in 3 consecutive months gives the investor $3.00 or $300 in cash. If the stock is trading at $40 per share, the put selling drops the investors cost to $37 per share ($40 – $3 = $37) In the meantime, the investor is earning an average of 1-3% each month in income.

This is the power of this strategy – creating income streams while buying great businesses at a discount price.

Learn more here: Monthly Income Newsletter

 

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